A 250-year argument: Belief, behavior, and the bootstrap
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A 250-year Argument: Belief, Behavior, and the Bootstrap
The year 2013 marks the 250th anniversary of Bayes rule, one of the two fundamental inferential principles of mathematical statistics. The rule has been influential over the entire period—and controversial over most of it. Its reliance on prior beliefs has been challenged by frequentism, which focuses instead on the behavior of specific estimates and tests under repeated use. Twentieth-century ...
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Studies of how evidence affects beliefs sometimes show belief polarization in response to mixed evidence. However, the nature of the mental processes leading to change in opinion is up for debate. Different accounts of how people process evidence and then update their beliefs make different predictions, especially about one-sided evidence, which is rarely examined. We presented subjects with mu...
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Argument-based Belief in Topological Structures
This paper combines two studies: a topological semantics for epistemic notions and abstract argumentation theory. In our combined setting, we use a topological semantics to represent the structure of an agent’s collection of evidence, and we use argumentation theory to single out the relevant sets of evidence through which a notion of beliefs grounded on arguments is defined. We discuss the for...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society
سال: 2012
ISSN: 0273-0979,1088-9485
DOI: 10.1090/s0273-0979-2012-01374-5